Full schedule prediction here
Jacksonville Jaguars
Predicted record: 7-9 #4
Last year’s record: 5-11
Vegas over/under: 8 (under)
Why they’ll win the super bowl:
Hit the reset button. Take the Jaguars that were one blown call of a fumble return from knocking off New England and heading to the super bowl. Now replace 70th Best QB In Football Jake Jortles with a well-endowed super bowl MVP. How could this not work?
Why they won’t win the super bowl:
Of course, Big Dick Nick tends to shrivel somewhat outside of Philadelphia. Then of course there’s a defense that has bled away a lot of talent since that AFC title game run, and a rushing attack that’s dependent on Leonard Fournette, whose lackluster play and penchant for trouble and injury have become somewhat of a habit.
Houston Texans
Predicted record: 6-10
Last year’s record: 11-5
Vegas over/under: 8.5 (under)
Why they’ll win the super bowl:
Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins constitute far too much top-end offensive talent, and they should take over a few games just on their own. The defense is still rocking JJ Watt, and Houston has proven to have leg up on the rest of this division on an institutional level in the O’Brien era.
Why they won’t win the super bowl:
Watson can’t find Hopkins down the field if he has 0.0003 seconds to get the ball off, and Watt can’t be expected to keep other teams under 40 points on his own while Jadeveon Clowney forces his way to Seattle AB-Style. Last season the Texans feasted on the league’s easiest schedule. This year they’re in the top 5 hardest.
Tennessee Titans
Predicted record: 6-10
Last year’s record: 9-7
Vegas over/under: 8 (under)
Why they’ll win the super bowl:
The Titans have been scrappy over the last two years, proving capable of shocking even the loftiest of opponents even when they’ve struggled. Just when you think they’re about to be eliminated, they’ll go on a run. Mike Vrabel exceeded expectations in year one, and this time Delanie Walker should be around more. Marcus Mariota is about twenty times better when Walker is on the field.
Why they won’t win the super bowl:
If you have two QBs, you have none. Ryan Tannehill is just slower, whiter Mariota, and yet he’ll be in charge of this team by week 7 after Mariota goes 2/14 for 7 yards and 2 INT one time. This team has spent too long overachieving, they’re due for a regression to the mean.
Indianapolis Colts
Predicted record: 5-11
Last year’s record: 10-6
Vegas over/under: 7.5 (under)
Why they’ll win the super bowl:
Jacoby Brissett was the best backup in the league and now he’ll take over behind a stonewall o-line with plenty of weapons. Frank Reich might be a really, really good coach, and he should be able to milk plenty of motivation out of Andrew Luck’s self-yeet from the league. Darius Leonard is a thing.
Why they won’t win the super bowl:
Has anyone lost this level of talent this close to a season before? I mean there are always preseason injuries, but this is ridiculous. The best backup in the league is now like the 23rd best starter in the league, and who knows how much of the success on this roster last year was thanks to Luck? Do you really think Eric Ebron is gonna catch 74 touchdowns again? He’s not.
Dangersquirrel vs the NFL 