Week 8 Power Rankings 2021

The top and bottom spots were on bye this week, but the whole order from 2-6 accommodates a drop by the previous #2 Ravens. The Bengals kick the Chiefs out of the top 10. Further down, I give up hope on the Bears, Panthers, and Eagles, while the only big riser of the week is the Raiders.

Week 7 Results 2021

Locks: 4-0 (29-2)
Survivor: 7-0 (SF, DEN, CAR, TB, DAL, IND, NE)
Underdogs: 2-1 (10-15)
Title Belt: ARI defended from HOU (4 week reign)
Needles: 0-1-2 (4-11-7) [Threaded-fave covered-dog won]
Don Shula Award finalist: Arizona Cardinals (7-0)
Millen-Sashi Award finalists: Detroit Lions (0-7)
Coach Graveyard: Jon Gruden

I spent all of Sunday at a pumpkin patch, which was rendered pure mud by the same bomb cyclone that made SNF a mess. Honestly it was so much better than watching football. I’m not usually one to adhere to the traditional concept of “life progress” but for some reason being married makes baby fever like 10 times worse, and now I just want to take sweater-wearing toddlers to a pumpkin patch goddamnit.

  • Browns over Broncos
    That one hurt. We owed the Browns some karma for multiple championship game miracles, but did we have to lose to them when they’re in shambles? A season that started 0-3 feels like it’s time to pack it in. For a team that’s had consistent success for decades, it’s painful to know we lack stability at literally any level, and see the consequences of that against a team that’s finally coming out of that situation.
  • Pack over WTF
    The Packers were outgained in yards most of the way, yet it was never in doubt. The Packers are just like this: a dominant force in the regular season that just doesn’t seem poised to run through the playoffs. But hey, there’s 10 weeks left, a lot can change.
  • Kitty goes Meow
    The Bengals are for real, and furthermore they are fucking fun to watch! I’m not the biggest fan of importing QB-WR chemistry from college, but you can’t argue with the results the Bengals are getting from Ja’marr Chase. He’s the first rookie to ever have a 200-yard game, and he’s on pace to break the NFL receiving yardage record. That doesn’t mean he will, especially not in the first 16 games, but it’s very satisfying to see.
  • Titans pummel the Chiefs in very satisfying fashion
    To everyone who derives great schadenfreude from seeing the Chiefs struggle thanks to the curse I placed on them by drafting Pat Mahomes in fantasy: you’re welcome. Long live King Henry.
  • Falcons over Dolphins
    The only close game of the week and it wasn’t even really watchable because it was Falcons and Dolphins. I don’t think Matt Ryan will ever play another playoff game, but Art Smith’s coaching is solid so far and Kyle Pitts is gaining steam as a potential core of the next good Falcons team. If the Dolphins really do trade for Deshaun Watson, that will reflect poorly on Tua Tagavailoa, the Dolphins, the Texans, Deshaun Watson, the NFL, and the US justice system.
  • Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Pats over Jets
    The Jets saw the Patriots turn into a pumpkin, and they hired a bright new coach and drafted a top QB talent in the draft. And yet here they are, swept by New England for the 93rd season in a row, giving up 50 points to Mac Jones and having to play a backup so unknown that I’m just gonna assume that they’ll sign an actual backup within the week.
  • Giants over Panthers just like I said
    Sam Darnold was benched for PJ Williams. The wheels have so thoroughly come off the Panthers wagon that it seems like they’re actively trying to give away the 3-0 start even more spectacularly than the Broncos.
  • Where We’re Going the Raiders Don’t Need Coaches
    It wasn’t particularly close. The Eagles took too long to show up at all. Derek Carr is having an amazing season, and one wonders if the Bisaccia Bump can actually just be the Raiders being a good and talented team that’s going to comfortably defeat bad teams even with an interim coach.
  • Stafford wins breakup despite Dan Campbell’s best efforts
    In the game of the week, the Lions gave the scrappiest performance by a team that seems to have no chance since my quidditch team disbanded. I absolutely want to see teams drive for a TD, onside kick, and fake a punt all before letting their opponent finally sniff the ball 10 minutes into the game and down 10 points. Unfortunately for the 0-7 Detroit team, the Rams are still way better than them and were able to win. A big part of the win was the work of Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey, both of whom seem to harbor lasting resentment for Jared Goff’s mediocre play while they were running incredible defenses for years. Very entertaining, 10/10.
  • Buccaneers over what I’m told is a professional football team
    Matt Nagy now has COVID, which makes sense because he’s spent all year making the people of Chicago feel ill.
  • Cardinals scorigami the hell out of the Texans
    Nice of Arizona to spot Houston a 5-0 lead before scoring 31 unanswered points.
  • Colts over 49ers
    Yes, I do think that if Trey Lance doesn’t fall into shape Kyle Shanahan is in trouble. No I don’t just think this because I want the Broncos to have another chance to try and sign him.
  • Saints over Seahawks
    Neither of these teams can play a normal fucking football game. This one was not so fun though.

Week 7 Predictions 2021

It is Halloween season. Halloween season lasts from the first consecutive overcast/rainy/chilly days in September until the Saturday before Thanksgiving. You can talk about/plan for Thanksgiving as early as the second week of October, but Thanksgiving season runs from the Sunday before Thanksgiving until December 1st. December 1st starts Birthday time, which lasts until December 12, at which point you may begin Christmas season, which lasts until January 2. The most key part of this schedule is that if you run a Christmas advert or play a Christmas song before Thanksgiving Day, I want to chop your head off and you deserve to be jailed for life. Fuck off with that shit. Years of Christmas encroaching on Thanksgiving Season have broken down the barrier between the two holidays, and now it’s starting to blend into the holiest of seasons, Halloween. We must fight back, comrades. If you see December holiday stuff before the second half of November, do the right thing and go on a murderous rampage to punish society for what it’s done. Thank you.

Survivor: SF, DEN, CAR, TB, DAL, IND, NE
Locks: GB, LAR, TB, ARI
Underdogs: NYG, PHI, IND
Needles: BAL/CIN, KC/TEN, TB/CHI

Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Can’t Lose!

Week 7 Power Rankings 2021

I’m keeping Buffalo on top after a close and fluky loss on a major Derrick Henry day. And I’m keeping Jacksonville at the bottom after a close and fluky win in an international game.

The Pats move up unfortunately, and the Cardinals finally get their due from me. Cleveland drops big and might drop more if key players are out for awhile.

Week 6 Results 2021

Locks: 5-1 (25-2)
Survivor: 6-0 (SF, DEN, CAR, TB, DAL, IND)
Underdogs: 1-2 (8-14)
Title Belt: ARI defended from CLE (3 week reign)
Needles: 1-2-0 (4-10-5) [Threaded-fave covered-dog won]
Don Shula Award finalist: Arizona Cardinals (6-0)
Millen-Sashi Award finalists:Detroit Lions (0-6)
Coach Graveyard: Jon Gruden

Congrats to the Chicago Sky on their WNBA title!

  • Buccaneers over Eagles — But closer than we thought, right?
    Arguably the first game where a bullshit taunting penalty actually affected the outcome. Because Tom Brady gets every imaginable break.
  • Jags win a game!!! Really!!! And it even counts even though it was in England and over the Dolphins!!!
    Jacksonville finally got a win thanks to the first 3 FGs of their season! You know it’s bad when doing something right just brings up mention of more things you’ve done wrong. The Dolphins look like shit.
  • Packers still fucking own the Bears
    If I was Aaron Rodgers I would have said that too. With the emphasis on not taunting players, isn’t it only a matter of time before things get more contentious between players and crowds?
  • Bengals over poor, poor Lions
    Ouch, Detroit.
  • Ravens run roughshod over Chargers
    It was weakness-on-weakness with the Ravens run game against the Chargers run defense, and boy did the Ravens O fill that no mans land.
  • Chiefs over Washington
    #NotAMascot
  • Rams over Giants
    Ok
  • Colts over Texans
    It’s a condemnation of the AFC South that the Colts started 1-4 and are still very much contenders for the division.
  • Vikings over Panthers in OT
    The Panthers are still built to crumble.
  • Cardinals over Ghost of the Browns
    I guess thank you to the Cards for sending half of Cleveland to IR right before the Broncos visit them on Thursday?
  • Raiders 😦
    Following the Perna Curse is more entertaining this season than the Broncos are.
  • Cowboys over Patriots in OT
    I don’t care if it’s the best game of the season, I am not watching the Cowboys and Patriots.
  • Steelers over Seahawks in OT shitshow
    Say what you will about the Seahawks, at least they’re entertaining.
  • Titans over Foot Traction
    Did you ever see that episode of The Magic School Bus where they play baseball without friction?

Week 5 Predictions 2021

Something about this NFL season is just not that compelling. I think my ability to appreciate football has still not recovered from the pandemic. I would much rather watch spooky movies all day than keep an eye on all the games, you know?

Survivor: IND
Locks: TB, KC, LAR, IND, DAL, BUF
Underdogs: DET, LAC, LVR
Needles: LAR/NYG, IND/HOU, PIT/SEA

Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Can’t Lose!

Week 6 Power Rankings 2021

Finally a top team that can manage to stay king of the hill for more than a week! The bottom spot, though, finally falls to the Jags, as it seems it was destined to do. At least Houston has some direction and put up a fight. Jacksonville is the only team that seems to have fully given up after a quarter of the season.

Big risers are Tennessee and Indy (both just kinda by default), along with the Bengals, Eagles, and Bears. The Pats and Broncos both drop significantly as they shift, in my eyes, out of playoff contention, but the big changes are with the Seahawks and Raiders, which both lost their emotional cores, one to a fingie booboo and the other to an email scandal that touches on the roots of the regressive culture of American sports as a centuries-old institution and safeguard of conservative values.

Week 5 Results 2021

Locks: 4-0 (20-1)
Survivor: 5-0 (SF, DEN, CAR, TB, DAL)
Underdogs: 1-5 (7-12)
Title Belt: ARI defended from SF (2 week reign)
Needles: 1-2-1 (3-8-5) [Threaded-fave covered-dog won]
Don Shula Award finalist: Arizona Cardinals (5-0)
Millen-Sashi Award finalists: Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5)
Coach Graveyard: Jon Gruden

The story on the field this week was the missed kicks — double-digit missed field goals and just as many missed extra points. As a fan of generalized chaos, and someone who didn’t have to see any of my teams lose thanks to the kick curse, I am all for it.
The NFL would love for us to focus on that, because off the field, it’s all about the avalanche of dickhead emails Jon Gruden sent to various people over the last 20 years that were uncovered in the investigation into the Washington Team being a dickhead franchise. The emails are so bad that Gruden has stepped down, which is hilarious. The exciting thing is that this is quite probably just the shitstained tip of an iceberg of NFL people being outed as the scum of the earth we know so many of them are. The NFL is about 100 years overdue for a reckoning, and I would love little more than to see the league face an existential threat. I hope whatever comes out is as damaging as possible to the league’s reputation.

  • Rams over Geno Smith’s Seahawks yikes
    The Seahawks were really in the thick of this until Russell Wilson bumped his finger on Aaron Donald and it exploded. Smith had a bit of a surge at the end, but my god, I do NOT like this team’s prospects with Wilson sidelined for at least a month. This is probably the end of Seattle’s season, which turns eyes toward whatever reckoning waits for them in the offseason as Pete Carroll is 70 billion years old, hasn’t put out a competent defense since Earl Thomas flipped him the bird, and seems to have pissed off the team’s future-hall-of-fame QB. The Rams meanwhile survive a lackluster performance in a division game on the road, which is something really good teams do.
  • Flacons toss the Jets back across the pond
    Not sure why I picked a struggling rookie QB with a suspect roster in an international game. The Falcons will remain shitty, but they have to be happy about this breakout game from Kyle Pitts, who is under extreme pressure to continue the Tony Gonzales-Roddy White-Julio Jones lineage. Highlight of this London game for me was hearing about (not watching, who would watch a game at 6 in the morning wtf?) the reception for the Chris Wesselling tribute. The Around the NFL Podcast co-host had cancer for the first time while my mom was sick, went into remission around the time she died, then he died last year while I was at my Bubbe’s funeral, so his whole progression feels very intwined with my grieving process for both of them. Knowing how many people were affected by that par asocial relationship was strangely meaningful for me.
  • Steelers… Oh god, why??
    Uuuuuuugh I just want my team to not be bad anymore, is that so much to ask? Of all the teams to lose to, as well! And it’s not like the Broncos looked that much worse than usual, the Steelers just somehow fixed their own issues suddenly at the wrong time. I’ve predicted a Najee Harris breakout game most weeks, then of course this is the week it actually happens. We seems to be missing Bradley Chubb more than predicted, as our pass rush is essentially just Von Miller breaking through every once in awhile, and in this game where I wanted so bad to trash the QB, instead he had clean pockets all day and hit receivers that consistently took advantage of bad slip-ups. There were a thousand opportunities to turn this around and the Broncos didn’t manage it until too late. I wish we could see Vic Fangio build a team without Pat Shurmur, but he seems to have hitched himself to that broken wagon.
  • Packers eventually hit a kick in OT, Bengals do not
    A hilarious comedy of errors as both teams combine for something like 6 missed kicks in the final 3 minutes of regulation + overtime. I loved it the whole way, and was happy for Mason Crosby when he finally got his redemption. The right team won this, but the Bengals did what I thought they might: announced their seriousness as a honest-to-goodness threat by legitimately hanging with a top-tier team.
  • Saints over Washington
    Stop me if you’ve heard this one before, but the Saints just comfortably won a game in which they didn’t particularly play well, but had a seemingly infinite number of random flukes go their way (this time it even included an end-of-half Hail Mary)!
  • Buccaneers bury Dolphins
    Remember when Tom Brady consistently struggle against the Dolphins even when his team was theoretically way better? Those were the days.
  • Eagles upset Panthers
    The old, ghost-seeing, mono-out-indefinitely-ing Sam Darnold finally showed up for the Panthers. A lot had to go wrong for Carolina to let the Eagles walk away with this one, but the regression to the mean with Christian McCaffrey and other injuries seems real. Philly isn’t quite the disaster I expected, but they’re way too froggy about their upcoming Thursday tilt with Dallas. That’s gonna be a rude awakening I think.
  • Vikings twist the dagger in Detroit’s chest
    The Lions once again had a team on the ropes. They shut down Kirk Cousins in the second half and took the lead with less than a minute to go. Then Minnesota hit a long kick on a day when it seemed the uprights were cursed in every other instance, and the Lions were toast, again. They’re way better than their 0-5 record, but in the end, of course, you are what your record says you are. I don’t blame Dan Campbell for crying in his press conference, and in fact I think it’s refreshing that his brand of masculinity can include the confidence to own your emotions. The NFL needs that.
  • Patriots beat Texans but… Not by nearly enough…
    Davis Mills nearly pulled a Brock Osweiller! I wish Houston had finished it out, but it’s nice to see the shine coming off of New England’s mystique week by week.
  • Titans beat Jags
    I’m sure Urban Meyer is relieved to be sitting there holding Jon Gruden’s beer (probably a Corona with lime) after the last week, but the on-the-field product still smells like a one-and-done tenure, if he even makes it the full one.
  • Da Bears over Rrrrrrrraidahs!
    If I had known the extent of the Gruden drama I would absolutely have picked the Bears. Vegas came out really flat and got romped over in front of a home crowd for the first time since leaving Oakland. Some games mark two ships passing, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bears and their new Justin Fields-centered offense rise to the place the Raiders recently occupied, while the now-Rich-Bisaccia-led Raiders plummet to the strugglesville that Chicago is escaping.
  • Chargers score so goddamn many points, Browns score slightly less
    Cleveland becomes the first team on record to notch over 400 yards with 0 turnovers and still lose a game. That’s just so Brownsian it hurts.
  • Cardinals over 49ers
    Arizona have proven themselves week after week, and no matter how it happens, every win still counts in the standings. But it would be great if this game hadn’t come down to stonewalling Trey Lance at the goalline on 4th down. This is why despite being my Don Shula Award Finalist, the Cardinals are not on top of my rankings.
  • Cowboys beat Giants and also beat them the fuck up
    Just as football twitter was joking about how Kadarius Toney, who beat OBJ’s record for most single-game receiving yards by a rookie, was the only player left for the Giants, Toney got ejected for punching a Cowboys player in the helmet. Brutal.
  • Bills!!!!!!!!! Chiefs!!!!!!!!
    This season in fantasy I made a deal with the devil by drafting Pat Mahomes, so that the Chiefs’ success would mean my success, and my failure would mean their failure. My check became due this week, as I lost by 5 points in a game where Mahomes fell 20 points shy of his projection. Of course, it also would have helped if I hadn’t just benched the Dolphins RB for being totally ineffective only to see him put up like 35 points. Fuck fantasy football, y’all.
  • Lamar Jackson owns the Colts’ shit (in OT)
    But he’s really just a glorified running back, right?

Week 5 Predictions 2021

Having less than a week between my wedding anniversary and my wife’s birthday is going to be total chaos every year, isn’t it? Damn. Worth it for the fall wedding though.
If the Niners lose, there’s a chance I’ll decide I was a dumbass for picking them and pretend I didn’t. In fact I’m switching that pick now, I just am too lazy and busy to re-post.

Survivor: DAL
Locks: TB, MIN, NE, DAL
Underdogs: SEA, NYJ, DEN, CLE, SF, BUF
Needles: TB/MIA, MIN/DET, TEN/JAX, LVR/CHI

Clear Eyes, Full Hearts, Can’t Lose!